APPLICATION SARIMA MODELS ON TIME SERIES TO FORECAST THE NUMBER OF DEATH IN HOSPITAL
Journal Title: International Journal of Applied Mathematics & Statistical Sciences - Year 2018, Vol 7, Issue 4
Abstract
This paper aims to predict the number of deaths at Mansoura University Children's Hospital by using SARIMA models. It is necessary to use death data to determine the health requirement for hospital and measure medical efficiency within the hospital. We take the death data in hospital from Jan. 2011 to Dec 2017. We concluded that the model SARIMA (1,1,1) (0,1,1) is the best model which gives us the lowest value for each of RMSE and BIC, approximately lowest value for MAE and the largest value for R2.
Authors and Affiliations
Hanaa Elgohari Elgohari1, Mohammed AbdulMajeed, Ahmed Elrefaey Elrefaey
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP354729
- DOI -
- Views 116
- Downloads 0
INTENSIVE CONSERVATIVE IN CERTAIN COMPLICATED CASES OF DIABETIC FOOT CAN SALVAGE LIMB AND PREVENT AMPUTATION
Background: Foot infection associated with diabetes, the so- called “Diabetic Foot =DF“, is a common problem among diabetics, especially in neglected or uncontrolled cases. Diabetic foot infections require attention to l...
Topological Properties of F-Hausdorff Metric
Consider a − metric space (ℳ, ), we define a general metric space with general Hausdorff metric on the setК of the class of all non-empty compact subsets of ℳ.We show that if (ℳ, )is complete, then the Hausdorff me...
V-SUPER AND E-SUPER VERTEX-MAGIC TOTAL LABELING OF GRAPHS
Let G be a graph of order p and size q. A vertex-magic total labeling is an assignment of the integers 1, 2, . . . , p + q to the vertices and the edges of G, so that at each vertex, the vertex label and the labels on th...
SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF HOTSPOTS AND COLDSPOTS OFPOVERTY INCIDENCE IN DAVAO CITY, PHILIPPINES
The Philippines’ National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) envisions Davao Region as the nation’s Rising Global Frontier. With this, the utmost focus has been given to a faster decline in its poverty numbers. A...
NOVEL PROBIOTIC- A COMMENSAL ENERGY BOOSTER
About 38% of world population will be affected by cancer at some point in their lifetime. People affected by cancer experience muscle weakness and physical stress because their intake of food is reduced and they don't ge...