Assessing Water Demand And Supply For Srinagar City (J&K) India, Under Changing Climatic Scenarios Using Water Evaluation And Planning Model (WEAP)
Journal Title: International Journal of Modern Engineering Research (IJMER) - Year 2014, Vol 4, Issue 4
Abstract
The study holds significance keeping in view the global climatic concerns, which began to cast their shadows on the climate of Jammu and Kashmir as well. In order to accomplish the present study, WEAP (water evaluation and planning model) of Stockholm Environment Institute was used. This model is a tool for integrated water resource management and planning like, forecasting water demand, supply, inflows, outflows, water use, reuse, water quality, priority areas and Hydropower generation, etc,. During the present study discharge data from 1979-2010 (past thirty years) of our study rivers i.e., Dachigam Stream and Sindh Stream was used as supply to our demand sites and also to find the impacts of changing climatic conditions over them. Due to availability of data upto year 2010 only therefore the scenarios were generated from year 2011 onwards. The water demands for Srinagar i,e., irrigation demands for agriculture and water supply demands for our domestic needs was analyzed, industrial demands were not analyzed as we have negligible demands in this sector. The water supplied to our demand sites was mostly contributed by our study rivers and a little demand was met by ground water. Data was collected from various agencies like PHE Srinagar, Census data of 2011, Meteorology department etc. This collected and generated data was given as input to the WEAP model. The model generated the trends for discharge of our study rivers for next 15 years and at the same time also generated scenarios calculating our demands and supplies for the future. The model results reveal that there will be shortages in the requirements met in the urban water needs for some years like 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2020. The results generated from the model outputs will help us in predicting whether our water resources are going to suffice our growing water needs or not in future. The results will help in drafting policies for future regarding water supplies and demands under changing climatic scenarios.
Authors and Affiliations
Muzaffar A. Malla1 , Umar Firdous Ahmad2 , Manzoor A. Rather3 , Muzafar N. Teli4 , Nisar A. Kuchhay5
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