EU banks after the crisis: sinners in the hands of angry markets

Journal Title: Journal of Banking and Financial Economics - Year 2018, Vol 1, Issue 9

Abstract

European Union banks were severely hit by the global financial crisis in 2008 and their stock prices and returns have generally not recovered since then, differently to what has been observed in other sectors (i.e., non-financial corporations) and jurisdictions (i.e., US). In this paper, we focus on three episodes of financial turmoil in EU financial markets occurring after the global financial crisis (August 2015, December 2015 and January 2016, and June 2016) and, through a series of linear regressions, with and without control variables, attempt to determine the common features of those banks which stock returns declined the most. Results of the regressions tend to suggest that size has been driving the decreases in stock returns in the three episodes. Regarding asset quality, the Texas ratio has been a decisive factor in the evolution of stock returns of EU banks in the second and third periods. Interestingly, profitability variables seem not to be statistically significant to explain the declines in stock returns, except in the third period, but only under some specifications. An evolution on the perception by financial market participants on EU banks, with a larger importance on asset quality in the latter periods, can also be observed. Lastly, on the basis of these results, further policy actions would be needed to clean-up the balance sheet of banks, as a necessary step towards full recovery after the global financial crisis.

Authors and Affiliations

Antonio Sánchez Serrano

Keywords

Related Articles

Animal Spirits and Risk in Financial Markets

Keynes argues that a beauty contest in financial markets is a combination of rational higher-order beliefs and market psychology or animal spirits. We find that a stable equilibrium, where also market psychology is inclu...

Determinants of banks’ profitability and efficiency: Empirical evidence from a sample of Banking Systems

The aim of this study is to analyze the determinants of the bank profitability and efficiency in conventional banks. This study compares accounting-based and economic-based measures of efficiency and profitability of con...

External Factors in Debt Sustainability Analysis: An Application to Latin America

This paper develops a framework for debt sustainability analysis that integrates econometric estimates of the effect of global factors on a set of key domestic variables that determines public and external debt dynamics....

An Econometric Analysis for the Bid-Ask Spread in the Emerging Chilean Capital Market

The purpose of this paper is to show that different methods for calculating the spread (Bid-Ask) and the methods for annualizing intra-day data affect the results of econometric models. To achieve our goal, we analyze di...

Gravity Chains: Estimating bilateral trade flows when parts and components trade is important

Trade is measured on a gross sales basis while GDP is measured on a net sales basis, i.e. value added. The rapid internationalisation of production in the last two decades has meant that gross trade flows are increasingl...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP349344
  • DOI 10.7172/2353-6845.jbfe.2018.1.2
  • Views 90
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Antonio Sánchez Serrano (2018). EU banks after the crisis: sinners in the hands of angry markets. Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 1(9), 24-51. https://europub.co.uk./articles/-A-349344