Methodical approach to determining the predictive structure of the consumption of primary fuel
Journal Title: Проблеми загальної енергетики - Year 2016, Vol 0, Issue 3
Abstract
We have proposed a methodical approach to determining the predictive levels of the consumption of primary fuel with using parameters of the energy intensity of gross added value of the kinds of primary fuel by the types of economic activity and specific fuel consumption per person for population. This approach enables one to determine the predictive structure of fuel consumption for separate types of economic activity, sectors of economy, and the county. We have estimated the predictive amounts of primary fuel for the future up to 2030. We have determined the predictive fuel saving for the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios and the amount of possible substitution of natural gas in the energy sector of the country. We present the predictive calculated amounts of final fuel consumption bu aggregated types of economic activity and population for two scenarios and the amounts of predictive fuel consumption in the energy sector by the types of electricity- and heat-generating sources.
Authors and Affiliations
Olena Malyarenko
Keywords
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- EP ID EP456217
- DOI 10.15407/pge2016.03.028
- Views 94
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