NATO’s defence policy dilemma in the Baltic States
Journal Title: Security and Defence Quarterly - Year 2017, Vol 14, Issue 1
Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to discuss the dilemma NATO has faced since February 2014 in its defence policy regarding the Baltic States. If NATO pursues a policy of deterrence, it might trigger war because Russia, the would-be deteree, may perceive actions taken by NATO as not intended to strengthen deterrence but rather to intimidate or coerce it. If it pursues an alternate policy of leaving the Baltic States visibly undefended, it might trigger war because Russia may see this as a sign of weakness and a gap to be exploited. This article investigates the logic of the dilemma, before considering whether NATO’s choice, made at the Warsaw Summit of July 2016, is working as intended. Ultimately, we cannot predict the answer and, therefore, we should consider all possible outcomes, including those which lead to a defensive war in the Baltic States.
Authors and Affiliations
Lukas Milevski
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP705958
- DOI https://doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0010.8471
- Views 80
- Downloads 0
From Versailles via Paris to Moscow: Strategic options and perspectives of the German Empire with a view to National Power Policy (part 1)
----------
The Balkans and non-military security threats – quality comparative analyses of resilience capabilities regarding hybrid threats
The contemporary security environment indicates non-conventional, asymmetric and hybrid security threats as potentially the most accurate threats to global and regional security. Conflict risks in the regional frame stro...
Willingness to defend one's own country and to resist in the Baltic states
This article addresses the question of willingness to defend one’s own country and a similar notion of resistance, should Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia be attacked. The study principally relies on quantitative data from...
“Autonomisation” of security and defence systems
Development of systems with an evolving level of autonomy is among the most controversial and yet promising aspects of military forces’ modernisation. The application of quasi- artificial intelligence in combat machines...
Geodata sources and geoinformation systems in hydrometeorological security.
A definition of the concept of information was placed in the publication of spatial ata with reference to the hydrometeorological systems covering the country. The next keys to the encryption and transmitting of hydromet...