Situation Modeling of Regional Development in the Republic of Kazakhstan
Journal Title: European Online Journal of Natural and Social Sciences - Year 2017, Vol 6, Issue 4
Abstract
The methodology of situation modeling was based on the application of fuzzy cognitive maps, indistinct regional data and indistinct time horizon. Based on indistinct number of involved concepts, the model enables users to create their own situations with fuzzy quantity of available concepts including both the existing and the added ones. The added concepts are characterized by the set properties and database related to no less than three fuzzy time horizons. The number of set impulses is fuzzy as well. Cognitive map training was based on the artificial intelligence element – the active Hebb learning rule. The impact of concepts was defined in the course of training. Fine adjustment of the fuzzy cognitive map was achieved by changing the training order using a rank scale and Saati’s sorting algorithm. The developed computer software was used in simulation modeling of regional socio-economic processes related to the project aiming at tourism development of the Alacol Lake in Almaty region. Research results are shown in the form of a fuzzy cognitive map reflecting internal and external relations within the region, graphs reflecting socio-economic development and the Bossel criterion. Simulation of allocations had a positive effect: GRP (Gross Regional Product) growth along with increase in employment and environmental improvement. The proposed approach provides a tool for forecasting of regional development and solution of different regional problems. This approach can be used with regard to any administrative-territorial entity, provided relevant statistical data.
Authors and Affiliations
Turlybek Turkpenovich Musabaev, Tabyldy Kayupov, Duman Kataevna Seylhanova
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP330494
- DOI -
- Views 123
- Downloads 0
Workload, Work Stress, Role Conflict, and Workplace Deviant Behaviour in Banks: an Empirical Analysis
This study identifies and explains the relationship between workload, work stress, role conflict, and workplace deviant behaviour. This study uses the Affective Events Theory (AET) as a foundation to test a proposed mode...
Explaining Rejection Sensitivity among Adolescences as predicted by Perceived Differential Treatment of Parents
The aim of the present research was to investigate the relationship between differential parenting and rejection sensitivity in 200 (male=95; females=105) adolescences. It was hypothesized that differential parenting (Ma...
Tuberculosis among Nomadic Women in Perception of Socio-Economic Status: A case of Sahiwal, Pakistan
Using data from a representative sample of the Nomadic women community, this article evaluates the effect of social and economic factors on tuberculosis disease of nomadic women in district Sahiwal, Pakistan. It also car...
Developmental Teaching and Learning Technologies
This research investigates the theoretical and practical issues related to the theoretical analysis of the problem of developmental teaching technologies, characterizes the main goals of developmental teaching, specifies...
Examining the Effectiveness of Mindfulness Based Cognitive Therapy (MBCT) on Increasing Resilience of War Injured Veterans
The present study aimed to investigate the impression of Mindfulness based on cognitive therapy (MBCT) on raise resilience of war injured veterans. The study is quasi-experimental study, with pre-test and post-test and c...