The Evolution of Fertility over the Life Course. A Comparative Study between Romania and Turkey
Journal Title: Academic Journal of Economic Studies - Year 2019, Vol 5, Issue 1
Abstract
The transition of fertility is an important part of the process of economic and social development and modernization of society. The transformations that have occurred in the politics of life, economic and social but also in the way of thinking the population influenced the demographics of the population's behaviour. This is the cumulative result of the manifestation of three phenomena: natality, mortality and migration. The intensity of fertility is determined by the magnitude of the birth rate. The paper presents the results of a study on the analysis and prognosis of fertility evolution in Romania and Turkey during 1980-2100, based on the application of models such as the Bayesian hierarchical series, auto-regression temporal series and time series prognosis. The models used for forecasting were based on the metadata provided by the National Institutes of Statistics and the United Nations. The comparative study follows, on the one hand, highlighting the evolution of fertility phenomenon in Romania versus Turkey in 1980-2018, and on the other hand, comparing forecasts on total fertility between Romania and Turkey between 2018 and 2100 and future projections based on the demographic profiles provided by the National Institutes of Stats' metadata.
Authors and Affiliations
Mirela Catalina Turkes
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP499962
- DOI -
- Views 104
- Downloads 0
Key Performance Indicators for SMEs in Producing Industry
Key performance indicators (KPIs) have been playing a key role in managing enterprises in various economic sectors for several decades. Over the course of time, the number of indicators as well as their significance has...
Investigating the Effect of the Relationship Marketing Tactics on Customer’s Loyalty
The current study attempts to investigate the effect of the relationship marketing tactics on the customer’s loyalty. The present study has applied objective, is descriptive in nature, and is a survey. To analyze the dat...
Investigating the Nexus of Service Quality and Customer Loyalty in Banking Industry via the Mediating Role of Customer Satisfaction
This study aims to examine the relationship between Service Quality (SQ), Customer Satisfaction (CS) and Customer Loyalty (CL) in the Jordanian Commercial Bank. This Study also, investigates CS as a partial mediator of t...
Effect of Real Economy Predictors on Monetary Policy Responses: Testing Model Fits For OLS, IV and IV-GMM Estimators
The paper investigates the effect of real economy predictors on domestic monetary policy reaction function in Nigeria over the period of 1983 and 2018, using a quarterly data obtained from the central bank of Nigeria Sta...
Debate Regarding Measuring Accounting Value: Historical Cost against Fair Value
The transition from historical cost to fair value represents an option with major implications in accounting, because it is a complex process that requires tuning to today’s trends of national and global economy. We can...